President Hosni Mubarak's unofficial abdication has had disastrous consequences on the country. The brains of the regime have proven themselves grossly inadequate throughout this crisis, with the president and the regime always a step behind the quickly unfolding events.
The word is that Mubarak has departed Cairo and is already in Sharm el-Sheikh, leaving behind what looks to me like a completely unmanageable situation for the remnants of his regime.
The Egyptian military yesterday issued Communique Number One in the absence of its Commander-in-Chief Mubarak. That was widely interpreted, and rightly so, as a military takeover heralding the end of the president if not his regime. Several hours later Mubarak made a rambling speech that highlighted his achievements, announced his disappointment at the backstabbing by "some" of his people and delegated his presidential duties to his vice president. Not once did he say he was humbled by the popular sentiment and that he was bowing to the will of the people and leaving.
It's important to note that despite the delegation of presidential powers, according to article 82 of the Egyptian constitution these powers are solely the prerogative of the president and cannot be delegated to anyone:
The military is deeply confused if not split. Egypt now finds itself in the grave situation of a crucially-important country that lacks leadership. Obviously Mubarak did not possess the qualities of leadership, at least over the last few years of his reign and this popular uprising exposed this glaring deficiency.
The country is on the verge of massive civil disobedience.
I don't see a way out for Omar Suleiman who's been left holding a ticking time bomb. The government will capitulate. The regime has reached the end of the road. Unless Mubarak finally and officially steps down (what's to stop him returning from Sharm el-Sheikh).
A man on a long journey through a perpetual desert.
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